Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.431199 0.477036 0.526310 0.583317 0.647581 0.717924 0.800946
2025-06-01 0.361971 0.426224 0.500450 0.592982 0.705861 0.839863 1.012144
2025-06-08 0.316518 0.388119 0.474827 0.588433 0.734640 0.918205 1.168859
2025-06-15 0.287590 0.364393 0.461037 0.592959 0.770486 1.004178 1.340209
2025-06-22 0.259824 0.338227 0.440071 0.583943 0.785004 1.060614 1.475089
2025-06-29 0.238303 0.317668 0.423697 0.578132 0.801407 1.118934 1.616521
2025-07-06 0.214205 0.291268 0.396674 0.554219 0.788677 1.132812 1.691729
2025-07-13 0.203150 0.281866 0.392152 0.561425 0.820998 1.214777 1.878893
2025-07-20 0.193169 0.273047 0.387472 0.567496 0.851416 1.295778 2.072672
2025-07-27 0.184220 0.264944 0.383006 0.573117 0.881028 1.377495 2.276107
2025-08-03 0.175467 0.256424 0.377126 0.575749 0.905578 1.452565 2.475926
2025-08-10 0.168192 0.249586 0.373200 0.580917 0.934315 1.536750 2.701265
2025-08-17 0.157129 0.236337 0.358611 0.567932 0.931863 1.567813 2.834070
2025-08-24 0.151576 0.231406 0.356887 0.576190 0.966839 1.668798 3.114327
2025-08-31 0.143943 0.222622 0.348261 0.571865 0.978795 1.728368 3.319215
2025-09-07 0.138653 0.217286 0.344885 0.576239 1.006655 1.820119 3.601806
2025-09-14 0.131362 0.208197 0.334609 0.567515 1.009180 1.862814 3.784966
2025-09-21 0.125189 0.200622 0.326420 0.561893 1.016964 1.916377 3.998724
2025-09-28 0.116502 0.188318 0.309358 0.538752 0.988734 1.893943 4.036627
2025-10-05 0.113372 0.185385 0.308491 0.545726 1.020563 1.998980 4.386181
2025-10-12 0.110258 0.182295 0.307131 0.551600 1.050563 2.103023 4.748420
2025-10-19 0.107262 0.179243 0.305632 0.557040 1.080033 2.208795 5.130710
2025-10-26 0.104024 0.175579 0.302787 0.559587 1.103539 2.303548 5.499050